its true about analysis! Not even an analysis done on super computer would give u any info that u can use to make profit consistently. the forex, stock and commodity market is total speculation. No one in the WORLD knows where the prices will be 5 seconds from now. Now that i am almost a chartered accountant, i understand these things properly. however, this DOES NOT means that this is a fraud business. it is a legitimate business (halal too, some think its not) its just that the volume of trades taking place is sooo large that the demand and supply of the items being traded changes a million times a day and thats what causes the prices to go up and down. U can NEVER spot a trend or cycle. The only thing is luck and some rules to play the games. people have joined this business and walked out with millions and the opposite too. No one, and i mean NO ONE knows ANYTHING about which shares/forex to pick.
What u shud do is, put 10% loss margin (trades will be automatically sold off when they hit this bottom point) or when they hit 15% profit (again, auto) this way, u ll make loss on some, profit on some, make veryyyy small deals so that ur account can take loss several times. in the long run, u ll have 5% profit. still, theres risk involved.
as for the mafia thing, it may be right i dont know that. but the operations of the company are legitimate. they have their office in Sargodha and i used to go there often. its not a fraud.